Contrarian's Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	22.2%	4-3-0	57.1%	51.4%	51.3%	50.7%	1307	↑ top
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	22.2%	4-3-0	57.1%	50.9%	51.4%	49.6%	1262	—
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	11.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	53.7%	44.4%	49.2%	1270	—
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	1	11.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.2%	53.1%	50.8%	1317	↑ top
5		Fire Suited	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.8%	50.0%	51.0%	1176	↓ low
6		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.6%	46.7%	49.8%	1123	↓ low
7		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	39.6%	50.0%	48.6%	1215	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 22.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 11.1%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 11.1%