Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at XP Games GA Store Champs
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.7%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
49.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1236
· median 1236
· range 1131–1342
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1128
Q3 1372
1509
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Fire Suited | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.4% | +11.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.5% | +8.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
