← GuildHall DTR Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 1
at GuildHall DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.7%
avg ELO +6.1 per match
expected value
54.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1218
· median 1218
· range 1218–1218
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1185
Q3 1301
1468
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 21.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
