← Arcanum Sanctorum DTR Store Champ
Fire SuitedTier 2
at Arcanum Sanctorum DTR Store Champ
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
6-5-0
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.8%
avg ELO +5.6 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1272
· median 1272
· range 1183–1362
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1035
Q1 1169
Q3 1360
1597
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 25.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.4% | -0.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Ciel | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
