Kobold's Keep Store Championship Oct. 20

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	25.0%	4-3-1	56.2%	53.6%	51.3%	51.1%	1179	↓ low
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-0	100.0%	65.7%	60.0%	57.3%	1430	↑ top
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-1	62.5%	60.6%	52.0%	53.7%	1199	—
4		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	43.0%	46.7%	47.0%	1213	—
5		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	28.8%	35.6%	35.8%	1194	—
6		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	43.0%	46.7%	47.0%	1213	—
7		Wind Arcane	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-0	66.7%	53.6%	53.3%	51.7%	1263	↑ top
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.7%	46.7%	48.9%	1155	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 12.5%