← Grand Archive Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championship .
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 11.1% | 6 | 100.0% | 56.7% | 64.0% | 53.2% | 1540 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 2 | 22.2% | 10 | 70.0% | 65.1% | 56.1% | 56.4% | 1208 | — |
| 3 | Wind Polkhawk | 1 | 11.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 61.0% | 50.8% | 55.1% | 1184 | — |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 11.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 52.7% | 50.0% | 50.9% | 1212 | — |
| 5 | Fire Exia | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.7% | 45.0% | 45.8% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Allies | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.1% | 42.2% | 46.6% | 1123 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.1% | 42.2% | 46.6% | 1123 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Diana | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 20.9% | 40.0% | 38.4% | 1125 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 32.9% | 40.0% | 41.5% | 1231 | — |