← Dueling Land - Grand Archive Store Championship
Water SeiryuuTier 2
at Dueling Land - Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.3%
avg ELO -4.4 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1211
· median 1211
· range 1211–1211
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1166
Q1 1211
Q3 1317
1582
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Fire Exia | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rile | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
