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Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Victory Point Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.0%
avg ELO -8.2 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1364
· median 1364
· range 1364–1364
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1153
Q1 1241
Q3 1335
1382
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.