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Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at Distorted Reflections: Store Champs

decks
2 (16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 8-1-0
overall winrate
88.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
75.5% avg ELO +11.8 per match
expected value
60.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1510 · median 1510 · range 1474–1546 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1043 Q1 1149 Q3 1403 1546
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 16.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.4
Fire Aetherwing 8.3% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.4
Fire Tera Cleric 8.3% 0
Water Diana 8.3% 0
Water Genbu 8.3% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 60.6% +7.9
Wind Crux Lorraine 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.7% +12.4
Wind Diana 8.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.0% +12.8
Wind Seiryuu 8.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 66.9% +16.2
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 42 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 42 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Rebounding Gust +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Acolyte of Cultivation -1.00 0 1 0
Scout the Land +1.00 1 0 0
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0
Nimue, Cursed Touch -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Expeditious Opening +1.00 1 0 0
Cyclical Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Fan of Seven Debts -1.00 0 1 0
Tristan, Underhanded +1.00 1 0 0
Mercenary's Blade +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -1.00 0 1 0
Kongming, Wayward Maven -1.00 0 1 0
Smoke Bombs +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Bagua of Cardinal Fate -1.00 0 1 0
Surveil the Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Poised Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Blinding Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Ardent Cloudstriker -1.00 0 1 0
Ventus, Staff of Zephyrs -1.00 0 1 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Baby Green Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Poisoned Dagger +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Three Visits -1.00 0 1 0
Juggle Knives +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace -1.00 0 1 0
Art of War +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit of Fortuitous Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Skirting Step +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/34026/archetypes/Wind Razorgale