Water GenbuTier 1
at PI STORE CHAMPIONSHIP !!
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.0%
avg ELO +4.6 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1118
· median 1118
· range 1118–1118
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1244
Q3 1403
1513
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 15.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.7% | +22.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
