← Derpy Cards Distorted Reflection Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Derpy Cards Distorted Reflection Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-1-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.2%
avg ELO +7.2 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1423
· median 1423
· range 1423–1423
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1115
Q1 1162
Q3 1549
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 33.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Fire Overlord | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
