← Buddy Connection GA DTR Store Championship Event

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Buddy Connection GA DTR Store Championship Event

decks
3 (27.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.5% avg ELO +5.8 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1275 · median 1300 · range 1135–1390 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125 Q1 1196 Q3 1314 1420
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 45.4% -7.3
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Fire Slimes 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.9% +12.6
Slimes 9.1% 0
Water Allies 9.1% 0
Water Fractal 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.7% -8.5
Wind Exia 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.1% +14.6
Wind Seiryuu 9.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 58.1% +7.8
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 50 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 50 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Gloamspire Mantle +1.00 2 0 0
Dungeon Guide +1.00 2 0 0
Scout the Land -1.00 0 2 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 2 0
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen +1.00 2 0 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -1.00 0 2 0
Slimeshield +1.00 2 0 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 2 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 2 0 0
Quicksilver Grail +1.00 2 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 2 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 2 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 2 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 2 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 2 0 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 2 0 0
Blackmarket Broker -1.00 0 2 0
Reclaim +0.50 1 0 1
Windwalker Boots +0.50 1 0 1
Assassin's Mantle -0.50 0 1 0
Sharpen Blade -0.50 0 1 0
Shimmercloak Assassin -0.50 0 1 0
Water Resonance Bauble -0.50 0 1 0
Emergent Dagger -0.50 0 1 0
Stifling Trap +0.50 1 0 1
Gearstride Gloves -0.50 0 1 0
Shadow Resonance -0.50 0 1 0
Slice and Dice -0.50 0 1 1
Imperial Spy -0.50 0 1 0
Backup Charger +0.50 1 0 1
Winbless Lookout +0.50 1 0 1
Windmill Engineer +0.50 1 0 1
Life Essence Amulet -0.50 0 1 0
Shadowstrike +0.50 1 0 1
Sadi, Blood Harvester +0.50 1 0 1
Cloaked Executioner -0.50 0 1 0
Arrow Trap -0.50 0 1 0
Tariff Ring +0.50 1 0 1
Shadow's Claw +0.50 1 0 1
Sirocco Operative -0.50 0 1 0
Cleansing Reunion -0.50 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -0.50 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -0.50 0 1 0
Blinding Orb -0.50 0 1 0
Swift Recruit -0.50 0 1 0
Tristan, Shadowreaver -0.50 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -0.50 0 1 0
Penumbral Waltz -0.50 0 1 0
Aesan Protector +0.00 1 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/34589/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike