← Hard Brick Games DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Hard Brick Games DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 100.0% | 66.4% | 62.7% | 58.0% | 1414 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 58.3% | 54.6% | 52.9% | 52.6% | 1307 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 48.0% | 48.5% | 1227 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.5% | 48.0% | 50.1% | 1262 | — |
| 5 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 50.0% | 47.3% | 47.8% | 46.8% | 1270 | — |
| 6 | Fire Tera Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 40.9% | 46.7% | 45.7% | 1208 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.3% | 46.7% | 46.4% | 1232 | — |
| 8 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.1% | 46.7% | 49.1% | 1185 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Exia | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 40.0% | 44.1% | 988 | ↓ low |