Fire AggroTier 1
at STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8%
avg ELO +1.0 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1189
· median 1189
· range 1189–1189
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1043
Q1 1108
Q3 1281
1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Cats | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
