Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at Championship FzLounge
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.7%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1251
· median 1251
· range 1134–1368
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1144
Q3 1270
1452
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden | 15.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Slimes | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +15.9 |
