EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 100.0% | 61.9% | 60.0% | 56.1% | 1480 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 80.0% | 59.7% | 56.7% | 54.7% | 1458 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 59.5% | 52.0% | 54.0% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 58.3% | 51.4% | 54.5% | 1312 | — |
| 5 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 58.3% | 48.6% | 49.4% | 47.5% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Allies | 2 | 16.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 32.7% | 49.2% | 41.6% | 1486 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Suited | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 57.5% | 45.0% | 54.1% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Tera Kongming | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 12.5% | 39.7% | 43.3% | 46.6% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.2% | 42.2% | 48.2% | 1343 | — |
| 10 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.5% | 35.6% | 41.7% | 1088 | ↓ low |