Fire SuitedTier 2
at DST Store Championship
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1134
· median 1134
· range 1049–1218
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1049
Q1 1200
Q3 1305
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Allies | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
