← Zuris-Shop Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Zuris-Shop Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 15.4% | 6 | 91.7% | 74.0% | 58.3% | 58.0% | 1363 | — |
| 2 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 54.2% | 58.3% | 53.0% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 83.3% | 55.8% | 55.0% | 51.3% | 1493 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Fractal | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 60.4% | 53.3% | 52.7% | 1291 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.4% | 50.0% | 51.8% | 1318 | — |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 48.0% | 48.3% | 1281 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 41.3% | 47.3% | 46.3% | 1352 | — |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 41.9% | 46.7% | 46.2% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | 1150 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 7.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 28.3% | 40.0% | 36.6% | 1445 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 10.0% | 39.7% | 38.3% | 44.4% | 1210 | ↓ low |