← Stevenson games store championship
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Stevenson games store championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.2%
avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1378
· median 1378
· range 1378–1378
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1065
Q1 1147
Q3 1363
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 15.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.9% | -16.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Genbu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
