← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 75.0% | 59.9% | 55.9% | 53.2% | 1429 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 45.1% | 54.0% | 49.4% | 1453 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Slimes | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 70.0% | 64.7% | 53.3% | 55.3% | 1237 | — |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.0% | 52.5% | 51.2% | 1343 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Genbu | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 54.9% | 51.1% | 51.3% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 6.2% | 5 | 60.0% | 54.8% | 50.0% | 50.7% | 1242 | — |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.3% | 50.0% | 49.8% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 48.0% | 48.4% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 48.0% | 49.4% | 1250 | — |
| 10 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 48.0% | 49.1% | 1340 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 47.2% | 46.7% | 48.7% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.9% | 45.0% | 50.4% | 989 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 37.0% | 45.0% | 44.8% | 1065 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.5% | 40.0% | 43.7% | 1021 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Exia | 1 | 6.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 27.7% | 40.0% | 41.1% | 1101 | ↓ low |