← Grand Archive TCG Weekly Standard @ Evergreen Games SHoppe
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive TCG Weekly Standard @ Evergreen Games SHoppe.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 52.5% | 57.5% | 51.3% | 1244 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 52.8% | 56.7% | 51.3% | 1243 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.3% | 55.0% | 50.9% | 1226 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 25.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 50.1% | 49.2% | 49.9% | 1187 | — |
| 5 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.8% | 46.7% | 49.4% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.6% | 46.7% | 49.4% | 1204 | — |
| 7 | Wind Exia | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 46.0% | 35.6% | 47.3% | 1188 | — |