← Grand Archive TCG Weekly Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
Wind NeosTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG Weekly Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-2-3
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1182
· median 1182
· range 1137–1226
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1175
Q3 1244
1289
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Exia | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.1 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
