← Curio Cavern Loisdale DTR Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Curio Cavern Loisdale DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1227
· median 1227
· range 1161–1293
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1098
Q1 1182
Q3 1443
1560
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +3.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.4% | -5.4 |
| Fire Suited | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
