Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Mox DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.2%
avg ELO -5.4 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1281
· range 1253–1308
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1141
Q3 1309
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.7% | -17.6 |
| Water Genbu | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
