← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #12

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #12. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 50.3% 52.0% 50.2% 1425 ↑ top
2 Wind Seiryuu 2 20.0% 5 50.0% 49.8% 51.3% 50.0% 1297
3 Fire Crux Mage 2 20.0% 6 58.3% 50.3% 50.6% 50.0% 1262 ↓ low
4 Fire Aggro 1 10.0% 3 66.7% 50.9% 50.0% 50.1% 1367 ↑ top
5 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 10.0% 3 50.0% 50.5% 50.0% 50.2% 1231 ↓ low
6 Wind Astra Cleric 1 10.0% 2 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1356 ↑ top
7 Water Genbu 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 48.9% 48.0% 49.6% 1353 ↑ top
8 Water Umbra Guardian 1 10.0% 3 16.7% 49.3% 43.3% 49.7% 1134 ↓ low