Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Chronos Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.0%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1270
· median 1270
· range 1270–1270
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1057
Q1 1131
Q3 1259
1435
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
