← GAMERSSHOP MAGINHAWA DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire SuitedTier 1
at GAMERSSHOP MAGINHAWA DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +3.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -4.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.2% | -6.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Water Neos | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.7% | +11.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Candlelight Hourglass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Four of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Volda, Smolder's Spite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nico, Rapture's Embrace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Duchess, Six of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verita, Queen of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dazzling Courtesan | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Two of Spades | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Magebane Lash | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Straight Flare | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| March Hare, Mottled Host | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trump Set | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Spades | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |