← Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-1-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
54.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1187
· median 1187
· range 1085–1289
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1186
Q3 1244
1289
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.6% | +1.5 |
| Wind Neos | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
