← GA Middle East Weekly DTR # 13
Water Umbra GuardianTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly DTR # 13
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-2-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1134
· median 1134
· range 1134–1134
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1225
Q3 1370
1448
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Nico | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
