← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
9-2-1
overall winrate
79.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
73.3%
avg ELO +9.9 per match
expected value
58.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1280
· median 1280
· range 1130–1430
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1096
Q1 1231
Q3 1351
1468
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.2 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 52.3% | +1.5 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
