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Water AlliesTier 1
at Dragonlord Games Würzburg - Store Champs
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
2-0-1
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.4%
avg ELO +5.5 per match
expected value
57.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1490
· median 1490
· range 1490–1490
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1291
Q3 1394
1490
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -7.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
