← GA Middle East Weekly DTR #14

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA Middle East Weekly DTR #14. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Seiryuu 1 10.0% 3 100.0% 51.6% 60.0% 50.7% 1372 ↑ top
2 Fire Crux Mage 1 10.0% 3 83.3% 50.8% 56.7% 50.4% 1313
3 Fire Firebloom Burn 2 20.0% 4 75.0% 50.5% 55.0% 50.2% 1369 ↑ top
4 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 48.9% 50.0% 49.6% 1323
5 Water Umbra Guardian 1 10.0% 3 50.0% 50.3% 50.0% 50.1% 1134 ↓ low
6 Fire Suzaku 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 49.9% 46.7% 50.0% 1302
7 Fire Nico 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 50.1% 45.0% 50.0% 1186 ↓ low
8 Wind Razorgale 1 10.0% 3 33.3% 49.0% 45.0% 49.7% 1354 ↑ top
9 Fire Astra Cleric 1 10.0% 3 0.0% 48.8% 40.0% 49.4% 1083 ↓ low