EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Lokalne granie.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 100.0% | 52.4% | 60.0% | 50.9% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 100.0% | 52.4% | 60.0% | 50.9% | 1430 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Fractal | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.0% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1268 | — |
| 4 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 1371 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 49.9% | 48.0% | 50.0% | 1227 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | 50.0% | 1218 | — |
| 7 | Slimes | 1 | 12.5% | 5 | 30.0% | 49.1% | 46.0% | 49.7% | 1038 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 25.0% | 47.6% | 45.0% | 49.0% | 1194 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Neos | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 12.5% | 46.5% | 42.5% | 48.6% | 1172 | ↓ low |