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Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at Grand Archive Store Champion

decks
2 (15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 4-3-2
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.4% avg ELO +5.7 per match
expected value
53.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1254 · median 1254 · range 1253–1254 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076 Q1 1172 Q3 1254 1525
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Suzaku 15.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.2% +13.1
Fire Crux Mage 7.7% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 7.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.8% +1.7
Fire Oblation 7.7% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 7.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.8% +18.8
Water Allies 7.7% 0
Water Genbu 7.7% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 48.1% -1.8
Water Ravishing Mill 7.7% 0
Water Triskit 7.7% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 48.1% -1.8
Wind Seiryuu 7.7% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 7.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 64.7% +23.5
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Unbroken Mustang -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Cyclical Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate +1.00 1 0 0
Favorable Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Three Visits -1.00 0 1 0
Acolyte of Cultivation +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/38797/archetypes/Wind Razorgale