← TCJ Revelfest No-Banlist tournament
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at TCJ Revelfest No-Banlist tournament
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.6%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1142
· median 1142
· range 1142–1142
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1103
Q1 1166
Q3 1347
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
