← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #1
Water AlliesTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #1
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1270–1353
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1131
Q1 1231
Q3 1353
1425
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.1 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
