← PTM Store Championship @Favonia HQ Ipoh

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PTM Store Championship @Favonia HQ Ipoh. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 6.2% 6 83.3% 59.2% 59.0% 54.3% 1428 ↑ top
2 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 6.2% 4 75.0% 67.9% 55.0% 57.2% 1232 ↓ low
3 Water Genbu 1 6.2% 5 70.0% 52.7% 53.3% 49.9% 1423 ↑ top
4 Wind Seiryuu 2 12.5% 8 62.5% 57.1% 52.9% 52.8% 1298
5 Fire Aggro 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 50.7% 52.0% 51.8% 1420 ↑ top
6 Fire Aetherwing 2 12.5% 9 50.0% 58.0% 50.4% 52.4% 1347
7 Wind Astra Cleric 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 50.7% 50.0% 50.3% 1460 ↑ top
8 Fire Oblation 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 40.6% 48.0% 45.0% 1448 ↑ top
9 Fire Suzaku 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 44.3% 48.0% 45.9% 1383 ↑ top
10 Water Aetherwing 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 52.7% 48.0% 48.8% 1268 ↓ low
11 Fire Exia 1 6.2% 4 25.0% 40.2% 45.0% 46.1% 1168 ↓ low
12 Wind Allies 1 6.2% 4 25.0% 49.3% 44.0% 49.3% 1124 ↓ low
13 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 6.2% 4 12.5% 37.3% 42.5% 44.9% 1170 ↓ low
14 Wind Shadowstrike 1 6.2% 4 12.5% 28.2% 42.0% 40.7% 1378 ↑ top