← PTM Store Championship @Favonia Kampar

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PTM Store Championship @Favonia Kampar. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 10.0% 6 91.7% 68.5% 58.3% 56.2% 1404 ↑ top
2 Wind Seiryuu 1 10.0% 5 70.0% 62.6% 54.0% 54.5% 1344
3 Fire Oblation 1 10.0% 6 66.7% 49.1% 53.3% 49.7% 1448 ↑ top
4 Wind Astra Cleric 1 10.0% 5 60.0% 47.3% 52.0% 49.0% 1460 ↑ top
5 Fire Aetherwing 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 55.7% 50.0% 52.3% 1342
6 Fire Arcane 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 51.6% 50.0% 50.7% 1238 ↓ low
7 Fire Crux Mage 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 48.6% 50.0% 49.4% 1383 ↑ top
8 Fire Suzaku 1 10.0% 4 25.0% 38.5% 45.0% 45.4% 1420 ↑ top
9 Fire Polkhawk 1 10.0% 4 0.0% 38.1% 40.0% 45.2% 1101 ↓ low
10 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 10.0% 4 0.0% 34.3% 40.0% 43.7% 1193 ↓ low