← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Wind ExiaTier 2
at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.8%
avg ELO -4.0 per match
expected value
41.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1088
· median 1088
· range 1088–1088
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1059
Q1 1133
Q3 1288
1455
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Exia | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
