← GG NPHX Grand Archive Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at GG NPHX Grand Archive Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
5-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
68.9%
avg ELO +10.9 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1562
· median 1562
· range 1562–1562
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1046
Q1 1191
Q3 1363
1597
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Water Genbu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Arisanna | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
