Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at MAGICSTAR 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-1-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.9%
avg ELO -4.7 per match
expected value
55.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1416
· median 1416
· range 1416–1416
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1206
Q1 1265
Q3 1363
1535
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.7% | -26.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
