← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Neos | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 46.1% | 53.1% | 53.4% | 1213 | ↓ low |
| 2 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 61.8% | 52.9% | 54.5% | 1323 | — |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 57.1% | 52.9% | 49.9% | 1301 | — |
| 4 | Fire Crux Mage | 5 | 41.7% | 16 | 56.2% | 53.0% | 52.2% | 51.4% | 1291 | — |
| 5 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 55.8% | 50.0% | 52.9% | 1204 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 45.7% | 48.3% | 49.0% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Chess | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.0% | 42.4% | 47.7% | 1236 | — |
| 8 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 32.0% | 38.1% | 35.2% | 1449 | ↑ top |