← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/8/2026
Fire ExiaTier 1
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/8/2026
decks
2
(4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.5%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1284
· median 1284
· range 1215–1352
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1047
Q1 1215
Q3 1425
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Slimes | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Chess | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Wind Silvie | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Exia decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
