← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/22/2026

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2

at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 1/22/2026

decks
4 (10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9% avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
49.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1263 · median 1281 · range 1029–1463 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029 Q1 1172 Q3 1412 1656
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Slimes 5.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.4
Fire Suzaku 5.3% 0
Water Aetherwing 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.0% -1.6
Wind Astra Cleric 5.3% 0
Wind Neos 5.3% 0
Wind Seiryuu 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -0.9
Arcane 2.6% 0
Dawn of Ashes 2.6% 0
Fire Aetherwing 2.6% 0
Fire Aggro 2.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.6% 0
Fire Crux Mage 2.6% 0
Fire Exia 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Fire Genbu 2.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.6% 0
Fire Oblation 2.6% 0
Fire Suited 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Tera Diao Chan 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.2
Water Astra Ranger 2.6% 0
Water Crux Assassin 2.6% 0
Water Exia 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Water Fractal 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.9% -1.8
Water Genbu 2.6% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Water Zander 2.6% 0
Wind Umbra Alice 2.6% 0
Wind Umbra Guardian 2.6% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 2 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 2 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 2 0
Calming Breeze +0.50 1 0 1
Heavenly Guide +0.50 1 0 1
Ensnaring Fumes +0.50 1 0 1
Unmake Duality +0.50 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +0.50 1 0 1
Safeguard Amulet +0.50 1 0 1
The Looking Glass +0.50 1 0 0
Abnegation +0.50 1 0 1
Mastermind Scheme -0.50 0 1 1
Topsy Decree +0.50 1 0 1
Orb of Sealing +0.50 1 0 1
Reclaim -0.50 0 1 1
Dungeon Guide +0.50 1 0 1
Scout the Land +0.50 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -0.50 0 1 1
Tempest Downfall +0.50 1 0 0
Nocturne's Oblivion +0.50 1 0 0
Resolute Stand -0.50 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -0.50 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -0.50 0 1 0
Tariff Ring -0.50 0 1 0
Zephyr -0.50 0 1 0
Lost Providence +0.00 1 1 0
Scatter Essence +0.00 1 1 0
Regal Inquisition +0.00 1 1 0
Innervate Agility +0.00 1 1 0
Penumbral Waltz +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/41755/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike