← Game Kastle Store Championship PTM
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Game Kastle Store Championship PTM.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 22.2% | 5 | 100.0% | 76.2% | 61.7% | 61.0% | 1316 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1226 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 53.7% | 50.0% | 49.2% | 1301 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.0% | 48.0% | 45.5% | 1449 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.3% | 46.7% | 47.3% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Chess | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.0% | 45.0% | 46.1% | 1236 | — |
| 7 | Fire Exia | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 16.7% | 39.9% | 43.3% | 45.3% | 1188 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 42.2% | 41.7% | 44.0% | 1169 | ↓ low |