← PTM Store Championshipえうれか昭和町店

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PTM Store Championshipえうれか昭和町店. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Seiryuu 1 12.5% 3 100.0% 54.9% 60.0% 52.3% 1545 ↑ top
2 Fire Crux Mage 1 12.5% 3 66.7% 54.5% 53.3% 52.1% 1404 ↑ top
3 Fire Exia 1 12.5% 3 66.7% 53.8% 53.3% 51.8% 1159 ↓ low
4 Wind Tera Silvie 1 12.5% 3 66.7% 67.6% 53.3% 58.2% 1123 ↓ low
5 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 41.8% 46.7% 46.2% 1218
6 Water Aetherwing 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 42.6% 46.7% 46.6% 1206
7 Wind Razorgale 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 48.0% 46.7% 49.0% 1154 ↓ low
8 Fire Suited 1 12.5% 3 0.0% 36.8% 40.0% 43.8% 1146 ↓ low