← PTM Store Championshipえうれか下田中店

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PTM Store Championshipえうれか下田中店. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Mage 1 12.5% 3 100.0% 60.7% 60.0% 55.0% 1404 ↑ top
2 Fire Exia 1 12.5% 3 83.3% 60.1% 57.5% 55.4% 1159
3 Wind Neos 1 12.5% 3 50.0% 51.9% 52.5% 52.5% 1220
4 Fire Suited 2 25.0% 4 37.5% 47.6% 47.5% 49.1% 1137 ↓ low
5 Wind Razorgale 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 48.4% 46.7% 49.2% 1154 ↓ low
6 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 12.5% 3 33.3% 42.1% 45.0% 44.2% 1206
7 Wind Tera Silvie 1 12.5% 3 16.7% 39.5% 45.0% 46.6% 1123 ↓ low