Water AetherwingTier 1
at Store Champion Ship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.8%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1377
· median 1377
· range 1377–1377
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1084
Q1 1178
Q3 1407
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.8% | +25.3 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
