← Kobold's Keep Store Championship 1/19/2026
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Kobold's Keep Store Championship 1/19/2026
decks
2
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.3%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1292
· median 1292
· range 1155–1430
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1155
Q1 1196
Q3 1228
1430
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Fire Exia | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Wind Chess | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +2.1 |
| Wind Neos | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
