← Steamship's Store Championship - Season 6 PTM
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Steamship's Store Championship - Season 6 PTM.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 100.0% | 60.8% | 60.0% | 53.9% | 1538 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Exia | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.3% | 56.0% | 52.5% | 1415 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 49.9% | 54.0% | 50.9% | 1359 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 55.2% | 52.5% | 52.1% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 16.7% | 10 | 60.0% | 59.0% | 52.4% | 53.2% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Chess | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.6% | 50.0% | 51.8% | 1231 | — |
| 7 | Fire Neos | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.6% | 50.0% | 51.8% | 1231 | — |
| 8 | Water Genbu | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 58.0% | 48.0% | 51.5% | 1115 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.1% | 44.0% | 44.3% | 1232 | — |
| 10 | Wind Chess | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 31.1% | 44.0% | 43.2% | 1294 | — |
| 11 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.5% | 40.0% | 43.7% | 1034 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 35.6% | 35.6% | 39.9% | 1102 | ↓ low |